Trading the Tokyo, London and New York Fix

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Mainly 4 Fix :

  • Tokyo Fix Strategy
  • London 4 PM Fix Strategy
  • London Gold Fix Strategy
  • New York Fix Strategy

Weโ€™ll focus on fading or following the flow, depending on the context!


๐Ÿ“Š 1. Tokyo Fix Fade (USD/JPY, JPY Crosses)

  • Time: 9:55 AM JST (6:25 AM IST)
  • Bias: Fade the spike, especially if counter to the overall trend.

Setup:

  1. 30-Minute Range: Mark the high/low from 6:00โ€“6:30 AM IST.
  2. Fixing Flow: If USD/JPY spikes into the fix, wait for a 5โ€“10 min candle close.
  3. Fade Entry: Enter against the move if price fails to break the spike high/low.

Stop: 10 pips beyond the spike.
Target: 30โ€“50 pips or VWAP reversion.

๐ŸŽฏ Example: If USD/JPY spikes up 40 pips into the fix, short it if momentum stalls, targeting a retracement.


๐Ÿ“ˆ 2. London 4 PM Fix Rebalance (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, DXY)

  • Time: 4:00 PM GMT (9:30 PM IST)
  • Bias: Play the momentum or catch the reversal.

Setup:

  1. Pre-Fix Move: Watch for a directional push 30 mins before the fix.
  2. Volume Surge: If volume spikes and price extends far from VWAP, look for exhaustion.
  3. Reversal Entry: Wait for a 5-min candle close against the move to confirm a reversal.

Stop: 10โ€“15 pips outside the extreme.
Target: 25โ€“50 pips or 50% retracement of the fix move.

๐ŸŽฏ Example: If EUR/USD rallies 40 pips into the fix, but the flow dries up, short for a mean reversion.


๐ŸŸก 3. London Gold Fix (XAU/USD)

  • Time: 3:00 PM GMT (8:30 PM IST)
  • Bias: Trade the breakout or fade an overextension.

Setup:

  1. Pre-Fix Consolidation: If gold coils into a tight range, prep for a breakout.
  2. Breakout Entry: Enter on a clean break of range high/low, or fade a false breakout.
  3. Volume Confirmation: Use volume spikes to confirm the real move.

Stop: $3โ€“5 beyond the breakout.
Target: $10โ€“15, or let a portion run to the next support/resistance zone.

๐ŸŽฏ Example: If gold coils within $2010โ€“2015, buy a breakout above $2015 with volume, targeting $2025.


๐Ÿ™ 4. New York Fix Momentum Play (USD Pairs, XAU/USD)

  • Time: 12:00 PM ET (10:30 PM IST)
  • Bias: Follow the dominant momentum.

Setup:

  1. Identify the Trend: Use a 1-hour chart to spot the intraday trend.
  2. Fixing Flow Push: Enter in the direction of the trend if price surges into the fix.
  3. Ride the Flow: Let the trade run with a trailing stop.

Stop: 15โ€“20 pips or $5 in gold.
Target: 2x stop distance, or exit on loss of momentum.

๐ŸŽฏ Example: If USD/CAD is trending down and dumps 20 pips into the fix, short and ride the momentum.


โšก Execution Checklist:

  1. Pre-Fix Prep: Mark key levels, trend direction, and VWAP.
  2. Volume & Price Action: Let the fix flow play out for 5โ€“10 minutes.
  3. Entry Confirmation: Use a candle close or volume signal to confirm the trade.
  4. Risk Management: 0.5โ€“1% risk per trade, depending on setup quality.

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